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07/28/2020

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Louis

If you ask if people approve of Trump you get about 40% approval among voting age Americans.

If you narrow down the sample to only registered voters you get an approval of 43%.

If you narrow it down again to likely voters the approval goes up to 46%.

Most of these polls are of voting age people so they will under count Trump's support by about 6%.

Also the sampling is important. Most of these poll have a much higher number of registered democrates responding than republicans.

There was a CNN poll that showed Biden leading by 12 points. When you looked at the sampling 36% of those surveyed were democrates and only 24% were republicans. (12% diffference)

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